Arjantin 1-0 Ekvador — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Jun 2024

Arjantin
1-0 HT 1-0
Ekvador
📅10/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Arjantin vs Ekvador Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.92
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.8
X/1
20%
3.4
X/2
5%
12.0
X/X
13%
5.13
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
8%
10.65
2/X
6%
19.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arjantin v Ekvador — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvador EU Bookmakers 19%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
2.53/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.02
+83% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
16.6 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.7

Arjantin vs Ekvador Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arjantin
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ekvador
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.79 xG 0.61
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
416 Passes 269
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.09.2023 Arjantin Arjantin 1-0 HT 0-0 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
30.03.2022 Ekvador Ekvador 1-1 HT 0-1 Arjantin Arjantin DKE
04.07.2021 Arjantin Arjantin 3-0 HT 1-0 Ekvador Ekvador AKU
09.10.2020 Arjantin Arjantin 1-0 HT 1-0 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
13.10.2019 Arjantin Arjantin 6-1 HT 3-0 Ekvador Ekvador HAZ
13.10.2019 Ekvador Ekvador 1-6 HT 0-3 Arjantin Arjantin HAZTUR

Arjantin 1-0 Ekvador — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin
1-0
AWAY Ekvador
1.02 xG 0.11
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
567 Passes 281
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 5
6 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arjantin vs Ekvador
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin nicked a narrow win over Ekvador 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arjantin as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Arjantin had 65% of the ball to Ekvador's 35%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.02 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arjantin had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Arjantin and 0.50 for Ekvador.

What was the final score of Arjantin vs Ekvador?

Arjantin 1-0 Ekvador in the Friendlies on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin vs Ekvador?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Arjantin 57%, draw 25%, Ekvador 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arjantin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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