Polonya 2-1 Türkiye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Jun 2024

Polonya
2-1 HT 1-0
Türkiye
📅10/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2023

Polonya vs Türkiye Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.95
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.95
6+ Goals
10%
17.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.95 — our 24% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
19%
4.56
X/2
14%
6.95
X/X
11%
4.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
2/2
11%
5.27
2/X
8%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polonya v Türkiye — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkiye EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.46/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/3.19
+52% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
7.0 Crosses 18.6
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Polonya 2-1 Türkiye — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya
2-1
AWAY Türkiye
2.62 xG 1.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
347 Passes 479
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
30 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonya vs Türkiye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya edged past Türkiye 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Polonya as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Polonya had 43% of the ball to Türkiye's 57%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 2.62 to 1.72.

What was the final score of Polonya vs Türkiye?

Polonya 2-1 Türkiye in the Friendlies on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya vs Türkiye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Polonya 44%, draw 27%, Türkiye 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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