Hollanda 4-0 İzlanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Jun 2024

Hollanda
4-0 HT 1-0
İzlanda
📅10/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Hollanda vs İzlanda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
21%
2.78
6+ Goals
14%
7.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.92 — our 26% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.35
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
29.0
X/1
12%
3.34
X/2
8%
28.5
X/X
11%
8.92
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
4%
23.6
2/X
6%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
78%
-15.7pp
22%
Draw
15%
+6.8pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hollanda v İzlanda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
2.46/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/2.23
+40% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
520 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.3
13.3 Crosses 11.5
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Hollanda vs İzlanda Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda
2W-0D-2L
AWAY İzlanda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
596 Passes 205
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
The Meetings
03.09.2015 Hollanda Hollanda 0-1 HT 0-0 İzlanda İzlanda AVŞE
13.10.2014 İzlanda İzlanda 2-0 HT 2-0 Hollanda Hollanda AVŞE
06.06.2009 İzlanda İzlanda 1-2 HT 0-2 Hollanda Hollanda DKE
11.10.2008 Hollanda Hollanda 2-0 HT 1-0 İzlanda İzlanda DKE

Hollanda 4-0 İzlanda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda
4-0
AWAY İzlanda
2.79 xG 0.09
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
432 Passes 320
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Hollanda vs İzlanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda cruised past İzlanda 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hollanda as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hollanda had 56% of the ball to İzlanda's 44%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 2.79 to 0.09.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hollanda and 1.00 for İzlanda.

What was the final score of Hollanda vs İzlanda?

Hollanda 4-0 İzlanda in the Friendlies on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda vs İzlanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hollanda win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Hollanda 62%, draw 22%, İzlanda 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hollanda), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hollanda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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