Çin 1-0 Bahreyn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Jun 2025

Çin
1-0 HT 0-0
Bahreyn
📅10/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.51
Over 2.5
33%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
41%
2.19
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.15
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.19 — our 41% vs market 37.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahreyn EU Bookmakers 32%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.62/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+20% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.9 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çin
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bahreyn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.27 xG 0.55
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
131 Passes 420
62% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 12
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.11.2024 Bahreyn Bahreyn 0-1 HT 0-0 Çin Çin DKE
11.08.2010 Çin Çin 1-1 HT 1-1 Bahreyn Bahreyn HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çin
1-0
AWAY Bahreyn
1.93 xG 0.66
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
224 Passes 416
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Çin vs Bahreyn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çin edged past Bahreyn 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Çin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Çin had 39% of the ball to Bahreyn's 61%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.93 to 0.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Çin's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Çin had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Çin and 0.50 for Bahreyn.

What was the final score of Çin vs Bahreyn?

Çin 1-0 Bahreyn in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çin vs Bahreyn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Çin 39%, draw 30%, Bahreyn 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Çin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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