Özbekistan 3-0 Katar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Jun 2025

📅10/06/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
22.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 33% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Özbekistan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Katar EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.25/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/3.67
-20% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -59%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 75%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
26.6 Crosses 13.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Özbekistan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Katar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
314 Passes 326
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.11.2024 Katar Katar 3-2 HT 2-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan DKE
03.02.2024 Katar Katar 1-1 HT 1-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan ASK
16.10.2018 Özbekistan Özbekistan 2-0 HT 0-0 Katar Katar HAZ
28.03.2017 Özbekistan Özbekistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Katar Katar DKE
06.09.2016 Katar Katar 0-1 HT 0-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan DKE
06.10.2014 Katar Katar 3-0 HT 2-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Özbekistan
3-0
AWAY Katar
2.69 xG 0.32
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
446 Passes 278
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 3
17 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Özbekistan vs Katar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Özbekistan cruised past Katar 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Özbekistan as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Özbekistan had 60% of the ball to Katar's 40%, shots finished 18-1, expected goals 2.69 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Özbekistan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Özbekistan and 1.17 for Katar.

What was the final score of Özbekistan vs Katar?

Özbekistan 3-0 Katar in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Özbekistan vs Katar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Özbekistan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Özbekistan 53%, draw 22%, Katar 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Özbekistan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Özbekistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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