Katar 3-2 Özbekistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.82
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
33%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katar EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Özbekistan EU Bookmakers 42%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-88% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katar
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Özbekistan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.40 xG 1.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
322 Passes 265
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2024 Katar Katar 1-1 HT 1-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan ASK
16.10.2018 Özbekistan Özbekistan 2-0 HT 0-0 Katar Katar HAZ
28.03.2017 Özbekistan Özbekistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Katar Katar DKE
06.09.2016 Katar Katar 0-1 HT 0-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan DKE
06.10.2014 Katar Katar 3-0 HT 2-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan HAZ
18.06.2013 Özbekistan Özbekistan 5-1 HT 0-1 Katar Katar DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katar
3-2
AWAY Özbekistan
1.44 xG 1.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
336 Passes 411
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Katar vs Özbekistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katar nicked a narrow win over Özbekistan 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Katar made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Katar had 46% of the ball to Özbekistan's 54%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.44 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Özbekistan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Katar and 1.67 for Özbekistan.

What was the final score of Katar vs Özbekistan?

Katar 3-2 Özbekistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katar vs Özbekistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Özbekistan win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Katar 33%, draw 31%, Özbekistan 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Özbekistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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