Kuzey Kore 2-3 İran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
7.78
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.6
No
66%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
4.23
6+ Goals
7%
20.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 40% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
28%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
10%
+15.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-16.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
34%
+0.1pp
66%
BTTS No
66%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Kore EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY İran EU Bookmakers 75%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.35/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.41
+150% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -20%
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
181 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 85%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
11.0 Crosses 14.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Kore
0W-1D-1L
AWAY İran
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
4 Corners 3
15.01.2011 İran İran 1-0 HT 0-0 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore ASK
06.06.2009 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore 0-0 HT 0-0 İran İran DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Kore
2-3
AWAY İran
1.82 xG 2.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 2
344 Passes 323
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kuzey Kore vs İran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İran edged past Kuzey Kore 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İran as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kuzey Kore had 51% of the ball to İran's 49%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.82 to 2.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İran led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kuzey Kore and 0.50 for İran.

What was the final score of Kuzey Kore vs İran?

Kuzey Kore 2-3 İran in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Kore vs İran?

Before kick-off our model rated an İran win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Kore 25%, draw 21%, İran 55%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İran) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İran) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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