Kuveyt 1-3 Güney Kore — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
63%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
8.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 25% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
+7.4pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.8pp
63%
Away Win
77%
-13.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.7pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuveyt EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore EU Bookmakers 81%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.61/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.29
-13% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +150%
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
204 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 83%
9.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
15.5 Crosses 11.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuveyt
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Güney Kore
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
305 Passes 339
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
08.10.2015 Kuveyt Kuveyt 0-1 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore DKE
13.01.2015 Kuveyt Kuveyt 0-1 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore ASK
29.02.2012 Güney Kore Güney Kore 2-0 HT 0-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuveyt
1-3
AWAY Güney Kore
0.09 xG 3.11
25% Ball Possession 75%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
151 Passes 633
73% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 23
3 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kuveyt vs Güney Kore
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore got the better of Kuveyt 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Güney Kore as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kuveyt had 25% of the ball to Güney Kore's 75%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.09 to 3.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Güney Kore led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kuveyt and 1.33 for Güney Kore.

What was the final score of Kuveyt vs Güney Kore?

Kuveyt 1-3 Güney Kore in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuveyt vs Güney Kore?

Before kick-off our model rated an Güney Kore win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kuveyt 15%, draw 22%, Güney Kore 63%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Kore) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Güney Kore) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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