Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 3-0 Kırgızistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.7
2-3 Goals
34%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.44
6+ Goals
7%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 37% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.6pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Kırgızistan EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.23/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.98
+12% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -38%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses 10.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kırgızistan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.17 xG 1.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
404 Passes 294
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.12.2023 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-0 HT 0-0 Kırgızistan Kırgızistan HAZ
21.01.2019 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 3-2 HT 1-1 Kırgızistan Kırgızistan ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
3-0
AWAY Kırgızistan
1.52 xG 0.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 277
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Kırgızistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri cruised past Kırgızistan 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri had 53% of the ball to Kırgızistan's 47%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.52 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri and 1.00 for Kırgızistan.

What was the final score of Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Kırgızistan?

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 3-0 Kırgızistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Kırgızistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 50%, draw 29%, Kırgızistan 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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