Mebrat Hayl 0-1 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 10 Jun 2025

📅10/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.1pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.01/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.20
+1% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mebrat Hayl
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fasil Ketema
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 2-3 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mebrat Hayl
0-1
AWAY Fasil Ketema
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mebrat Hayl vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema nicked a narrow win over Mebrat Hayl 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Fasil Ketema found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mebrat Hayl had 42% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 58%, shots finished 4-14.

What was the final score of Mebrat Hayl vs Fasil Ketema?

Mebrat Hayl 0-1 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 10/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mebrat Hayl vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mebrat Hayl 33%, draw 31%, Fasil Ketema 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fasil Ketema), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fasil Ketema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
10 Jun 2025
15:00 Ethiopian Insurance vs Mekelakeya Analysis →