Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 10 Jun 2025

📅10/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.52
Over 2.5
27%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.13
No
65%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
73%
Under 2.5
62%
+10.7pp
27%
Over 2.5
38%
-10.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
43%
-7.6pp
65%
BTTS No
57%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.14/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.49
+16% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +102%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Mekelakeya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.12.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 0-0 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
13.04.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 1-2 HT 1-1 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
01.12.2023 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 0-1 HT 0-1 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
2-0
AWAY Mekelakeya
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance saw off Mekelakeya 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Ethiopian Insurance made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 42% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 58%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ethiopian Insurance and 0.67 for Mekelakeya.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Mekelakeya?

Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 10/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 39%, draw 33%, Mekelakeya 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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