Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.52
2-3 Goals
44%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
78%
-22.0pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.3pp
21%
Away Win
7%
+14.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3-0
AWAY Penybont
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris ran out comfortable winners over Penybont 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 60% of the ball to Penybont's 40%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Penybont?

Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 Penybont in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 55%, draw 23%, Penybont 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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