Torpedo Kutaisi 4-3 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.77
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 6
18.07.2019 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-2 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent AVL
11.07.2019 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
4-3
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi edged past Ordabasy Shymkent 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Torpedo Kutaisi found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 51% of the ball to Ordabasy Shymkent's 49%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.50 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Torpedo Kutaisi 4-3 Ordabasy Shymkent in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 40%, draw 28%, Ordabasy Shymkent 32%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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