Magpies 2-3 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
45%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 28% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
19%
+10.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
45%
Away Win
58%
-12.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magpies EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 62%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
217 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magpies
2-3
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Magpies vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond nicked a narrow win over Magpies 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Magpies had 42% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 58%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Magpies vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Magpies 2-3 Paide Linnameeskond in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magpies vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Magpies 30%, draw 25%, Paide Linnameeskond 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
10 Jul 2025
17:00 Atletic Club DEscaldes vs F91 Diddeleng Analysis →
19:00 Torpedo Kutaisi vs Ordabasy Shymkent Analysis →
19:00 SJK Seinajoki vs KI Klaksvik Analysis →
19:00 Kauno Zalgiris vs Penybont Analysis →
19:30 Racing FC vs Dila Gori Analysis →
19:30 Urartu vs Neman Grodno Analysis →