Sabah 2-3 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 10 Jul 2025

Sabah
2-3 HT 2-1
Celje
📅10/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.78
Over Pick
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.98
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
24%
3.62
6+
10%
15.2
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.62 — our 24% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sabah
2-3
AWAY Celje
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Passes 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje squeezed past Sabah 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sabah at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sabah had 46% of the ball to Celje's 54%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Celje?

Sabah 2-3 Celje in the UEFA Europa League on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sabah 48%, draw 24%, Celje 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sabah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Over 2.5
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