Shakhtar Donetsk 6-0 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.21
Over
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.14
2-3
38%
1.85
4-5
28%
2.87
6+
11%
8.44
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.14 — our 23% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Shakhtar Donetsk win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
76%
-16.2pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.8pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.2pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk The Market 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere The Market 9%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.66/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.00
+16% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / +16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
6-0
AWAY Ilves Tampere
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk swept aside Ilves Tampere 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Shakhtar Donetsk had 59% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 41%, shots finished 20-6.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Ilves Tampere?

Shakhtar Donetsk 6-0 Ilves Tampere in the UEFA Europa League on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 60%, draw 20%, Ilves Tampere 19%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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