Hartberg 1-4 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.9pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 57%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.12/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.80
-11% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 612 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız swept aside Hartberg 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Kızılyıldız?

Hartberg 1-4 Kızılyıldız in the Friendlies on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 29%, draw 29%, Kızılyıldız 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✗ Under 2.5
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