Spartak Subotica 2-1 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.04 xG 1.06
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
243 Passes 376
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-1 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
21.07.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-2 HT 2-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
13.05.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
08.03.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
21.12.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
01.03.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
2-1
AWAY Novi Pazar
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica edged past Novi Pazar 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Spartak Subotica made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 57% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 43%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Subotica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spartak Subotica and 0.83 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar?

Spartak Subotica 2-1 Novi Pazar in the Friendlies on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 34%, draw 27%, Novi Pazar 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Novi Pazar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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