Spartak Subotica 1-1 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.40/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.23
+18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.6 Crosses 13.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 331
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-2 HT 2-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
13.05.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
08.03.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
21.12.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
01.03.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
30.08.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-1
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.64 xG 0.89
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
256 Passes 476
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica and Novi Pazar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Subotica at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 37% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 63%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.64 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.00 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar?

Spartak Subotica 1-1 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 42%, draw 26%, Novi Pazar 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Subotica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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