Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novi Pazar v Spartak Subotica — Team-Based Signals
Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Spartak Subotica
SIRP
2-0
HT 1-0
Novi Pazar
SIRP
2-0
HT 1-0
Spartak Subotica
SIRP
1-2
HT 1-1
Novi Pazar
SIRP
Novi Pazar 3-2 Spartak Subotica — Actual Match Statistics
Novi Pazar edged past Spartak Subotica 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 33%) promised a tight game; Novi Pazar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Novi Pazar had 46% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 54%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.19 to 0.82.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Novi Pazar and 0.83 for Spartak Subotica.
What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica?
Novi Pazar 3-2 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 33%, draw 34%, Spartak Subotica 33%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.