Sparta Prag 3-1 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.82
6+ Goals
8%
8.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 31% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 37%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Young Boys
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 Passes 330
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
11.12.2014 Young Boys Young Boys 2-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag AVL
02.10.2014 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-1 HT 2-0 Young Boys Young Boys AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
3-1
AWAY Young Boys
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag saw off Young Boys 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 49% of the ball to Young Boys's 51%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.50 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Young Boys?

Sparta Prag 3-1 Young Boys in the Friendlies on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 42%, draw 30%, Young Boys 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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