Lindome GIF 2-3 Astrio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.5
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
25%
+11.7pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.6pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-9.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.7pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lindome GIF EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Astrio EU Bookmakers 57%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.78/2.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.64/1.62
+23% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lindome GIF
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Astrio
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
13.04.2024 Astrio Astrio 3-0 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF İSÇ4
22.10.2023 Astrio Astrio 3-0 HT 1-0 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF İSÇ4
10.06.2023 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF 1-3 HT 1-2 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lindome GIF
2-3
AWAY Astrio
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lindome GIF vs Astrio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astrio nicked a narrow win over Lindome GIF 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Astrio as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lindome GIF had 44% of the ball to Astrio's 56%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Astrio led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lindome GIF and 3.00 for Astrio.

What was the final score of Lindome GIF vs Astrio?

Lindome GIF 2-3 Astrio in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lindome GIF vs Astrio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Astrio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lindome GIF 37%, draw 19%, Astrio 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Astrio), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Astrio) ✓ Over 2.5
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