Stenungsund 1-1 BK Forward — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.38
Over 2.5
70%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.5
No
34%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
30%
Under 2.5
38%
-8.6pp
70%
Over 2.5
62%
+8.6pp
66%
BTTS Yes
62%
+3.4pp
34%
BTTS No
38%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY BK Forward EU Bookmakers 32%
-19% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.55/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.24
-21% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenungsund
3W-0D-2L
AWAY BK Forward
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
14.04.2024 BK Forward BK Forward 1-2 HT 1-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
10.09.2023 BK Forward BK Forward 1-4 HT 0-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
06.05.2023 Stenungsund Stenungsund 4-0 HT 1-0 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
24.10.2021 BK Forward BK Forward 3-1 HT 2-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
13.06.2021 Stenungsund Stenungsund 0-2 HT 0-1 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Stenungsund vs BK Forward
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenungsund and BK Forward shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stenungsund at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (66%) landed while over 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stenungsund had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Stenungsund and 1.40 for BK Forward.

What was the final score of Stenungsund vs BK Forward?

Stenungsund 1-1 BK Forward in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenungsund vs BK Forward?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenungsund win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stenungsund 45%, draw 24%, BK Forward 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stenungsund), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenungsund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
10 Aug 2024
14:00 Lindome GIF vs Astrio Analysis →
14:00 Taftea vs IFK Lulea Analysis →
14:00 IK Tord vs Laholms FK Analysis →
14:00 Huddinge vs Smedby AIS Analysis →
14:00 Team TG FF vs Gottne Analysis →
15:00 Vastra Frolunda IF vs Hittarps IK Analysis →