BK Forward 1-2 Stenungsund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.6pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BK Forward EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.67/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.68
-8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BK Forward
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Stenungsund
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
10.09.2023 BK Forward BK Forward 1-4 HT 0-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
06.05.2023 Stenungsund Stenungsund 4-0 HT 1-0 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
24.10.2021 BK Forward BK Forward 3-1 HT 2-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
13.06.2021 Stenungsund Stenungsund 0-2 HT 0-1 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
POST-MATCH BK Forward vs Stenungsund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenungsund nicked a narrow win over BK Forward 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Stenungsund found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for BK Forward and 2.25 for Stenungsund.

What was the final score of BK Forward vs Stenungsund?

BK Forward 1-2 Stenungsund in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BK Forward vs Stenungsund?

Before kick-off our model rated a BK Forward win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split BK Forward 37%, draw 26%, Stenungsund 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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