14/04/2024
·
14:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Falu BS vs IFK Österaker Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
21%
Draw
24%
26%
Away Win
26%
40%
Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 2.5
60%
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
38%
BTTS No
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Falu BS v IFK Österaker — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Falu BS
EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY
IFK Österaker
EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+18%
/
-16%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
408 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
255 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Falu BS vs IFK Österaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Falu BS beat IFK Österaker 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Falu BS as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Falu BS vs IFK Österaker?
Falu BS 2-0 IFK Österaker in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Falu BS vs IFK Österaker?
Before kick-off our model rated a Falu BS win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Falu BS 54%, draw 21%, IFK Österaker 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falu BS) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Falu BS)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
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