FK Karlskrona 3-0 Nosaby IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.81
No
38%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
51%
+11.2pp
38%
BTTS No
49%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
2.10/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.84
-9% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Karlskrona
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Nosaby IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5 Corners 2
19.08.2023 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 6-0 HT 2-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
22.04.2023 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
06.08.2022 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
15.04.2022 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 1-0 HT 1-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
17.10.2021 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
14.08.2021 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 1-3 HT 0-1 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH FK Karlskrona vs Nosaby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Karlskrona cruised past Nosaby IF 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Karlskrona as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Karlskrona had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FK Karlskrona and 1.00 for Nosaby IF.

What was the final score of FK Karlskrona vs Nosaby IF?

FK Karlskrona 3-0 Nosaby IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Karlskrona vs Nosaby IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FK Karlskrona 51%, draw 26%, Nosaby IF 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Karlskrona), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
14 Apr 2024
13:00 Qviding FIF vs Savedalen Analysis →
14:00 Enskede IK vs Atvidaberg Analysis →
14:30 Falu BS vs IFK Österaker Analysis →
15:00 Hudiksvalls FF vs Farsta Analysis →
15:00 Öckerö vs Bergdalens Analysis →
15:00 BK Forward vs Stenungsund Analysis →