Astrio 3-0 Lindome GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-12.6pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astrio EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Lindome GIF EU Bookmakers 22%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.66/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.74
+17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Astrio
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lindome GIF
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
22.10.2023 Astrio Astrio 3-0 HT 1-0 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF İSÇ4
10.06.2023 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF 1-3 HT 1-2 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Astrio vs Lindome GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astrio cruised past Lindome GIF 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Astrio as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Astrio had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Astrio and 0.50 for Lindome GIF.

What was the final score of Astrio vs Lindome GIF?

Astrio 3-0 Lindome GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astrio vs Lindome GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Astrio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Astrio 46%, draw 30%, Lindome GIF 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Astrio), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Astrio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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