Halmstad 0-1 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
54%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
12.5
1/2
7%
21.85
1/X
4%
20.35
X/1
7%
16.1
X/2
22%
3.53
X/X
10%
7.09
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.62
2/X
9%
19.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.2pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.9pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-13.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 72%
+9% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
0.89/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.89
+27% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 82%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.8
13.9 Crosses 22.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.56 xG 2.13
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
185 Passes 598
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.07.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 5-1 HT 2-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
16.03.2024 Halmstad Halmstad 0-4 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
07.08.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
14.05.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
04.12.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
07.08.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
0-1
AWAY Malmö FF
0.75 xG 2.87
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 31
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
214 Passes 698
71% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 55
10 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF edged past Halmstad 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Halmstad had 28% of the ball to Malmö FF's 72%, shots finished 8-31, expected goals 0.75 to 2.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Malmö FF's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Halmstad and 2.17 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs Malmö FF?

Halmstad 0-1 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 22%, draw 24%, Malmö FF 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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