Malmö FF 5-1 Halmstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.98
2-3 Goals
41%
2.19
4-5 Goals
27%
2.46
6+ Goals
12%
4.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.33
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
28.5
X/1
18%
3.54
X/2
4%
28.0
X/X
7%
10.9
2/1
9%
21.3
2/2
9%
19.6
2/X
5%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
79%
-14.7pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.3pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Halmstad EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
2.29/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.33
-4% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +9%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
521 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
37.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
23.1 Crosses 13.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Halmstad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.01 xG 0.58
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
580 Passes 200
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Halmstad Halmstad 0-4 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
07.08.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
14.05.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
04.12.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
07.08.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
06.03.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 4-1 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
5-1
AWAY Halmstad
2.64 xG 0.49
78% Ball Possession 22%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
669 Passes 125
89% Pass Accuracy 61%
29 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Halmstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF cruised past Halmstad 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Malmö FF had 78% of the ball to Halmstad's 22%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.64 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Malmö FF and 0.17 for Halmstad.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Halmstad?

Malmö FF 5-1 Halmstad in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Halmstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 65%, draw 19%, Halmstad 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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