GAIS 0-0 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 24% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.89
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
11%
12.45
X/1
13%
4.99
X/2
15%
6.91
X/X
6%
5.04
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
16%
4.58
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.03/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.49
+24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
349 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
12.0 Crosses 18.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hammarby
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
25.02.2018 Hammarby Hammarby 3-3 HT 1-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
26.10.2014 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2
18.06.2014 Hammarby Hammarby 1-3 HT 1-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
19.09.2013 Hammarby Hammarby 3-1 HT 1-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
23.05.2013 GAIS GAIS 1-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2
23.09.2009 Hammarby Hammarby 1-2 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
0-0
AWAY Hammarby
1.62 xG 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 8
252 Passes 458
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
37 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 26
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS and Hammarby fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, GAIS had 39% of the ball to Hammarby's 61%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.62 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, GAIS had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for GAIS and 1.33 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Hammarby?

GAIS 0-0 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split GAIS 38%, draw 25%, Hammarby 37%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (GAIS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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