IFK Varnamo 2-0 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.49
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.42
X/2
12%
5.78
X/X
14%
4.81
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
15%
3.82
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 38%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.13/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.28
-38% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
18.9 Crosses 20.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Göteborg
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.91 xG 1.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
457 Passes 315
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 3-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
02.04.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
06.11.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-4 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
03.04.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
01.03.2014 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
2-0
AWAY Göteborg
1.94 xG 0.64
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
289 Passes 425
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 32
5 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo got the better of Göteborg 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day IFK Varnamo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 41% of the ball to Göteborg's 59%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.94 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Göteborg led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.80 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Göteborg?

IFK Varnamo 2-0 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 38%, draw 28%, Göteborg 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Varnamo) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✗ BTTS Yes
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