Phönix Lübeck 3-1 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.9pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.90/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.46
+30% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
1W-1D-0L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
16.08.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 5-1 HT 1-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck saw off VfB Oldenburg 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Phönix Lübeck made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.00 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg?

Phönix Lübeck 3-1 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 37%, draw 27%, VfB Oldenburg 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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