Türkspor Dortmund 0-1 Sportfreunde Lotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
50%
Away Win
50%
+0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.2pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkspor Dortmund EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 54%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.53
-21% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +124%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkspor Dortmund
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
02.03.2024 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 Türkspor Dortmund OBER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkspor Dortmund
0-1
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Türkspor Dortmund vs Sportfreunde Lotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte edged past Türkspor Dortmund 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sportfreunde Lotte as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Türkspor Dortmund had 57% of the ball to Sportfreunde Lotte's 43%, shots finished 13-16.

What was the final score of Türkspor Dortmund vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Türkspor Dortmund 0-1 Sportfreunde Lotte in the Germany - Regional League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkspor Dortmund vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Türkspor Dortmund 28%, draw 22%, Sportfreunde Lotte 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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