Lake Macquarie 0-5 Weston Bears — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
12.23
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
63%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
41%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
5%
+17.5pp
15%
Draw
8%
+7.9pp
62%
Away Win
88%
-25.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lake Macquarie EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 94%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.04/3.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/0.85
+10% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lake Macquarie
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Weston Bears
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2024 Weston Bears Weston Bears 6-1 HT 4-1 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNSW
23.07.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 5-0 HT 2-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNSW
30.04.2023 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 0-4 HT 0-3 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
21.08.2022 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-0 HT 1-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
29.06.2022 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 2-5 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
01.08.2021 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 1-2 HT 0-1 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
POST-MATCH Lake Macquarie vs Weston Bears
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston Bears cruised past Lake Macquarie 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Weston Bears as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weston Bears led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lake Macquarie and 4.00 for Weston Bears.

What was the final score of Lake Macquarie vs Weston Bears?

Lake Macquarie 0-5 Weston Bears in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lake Macquarie vs Weston Bears?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Lake Macquarie 22%, draw 15%, Weston Bears 62%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston Bears), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
10 Aug 2024
07:30 Edgeworth Eagles vs Cooks Hill United Analysis →
07:30 Adamstown Rosebuds vs Newcastle Olympic Analysis →
07:30 Lambton Jaffas vs New Lambton FC Analysis →
08:00 Canberra Olympic vs Cooma Tigers Analysis →
08:00 Avondale Heights vs South Melbourne Analysis →
08:30 Yoogali vs O Connor Knights Analysis →