Dender EH 4-1 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 28% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.17
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
17%
4.89
X/2
9%
6.29
X/X
14%
4.48
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.53
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
1.58/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.15
+9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
Crosses 16.8
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Kortrijk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
01.11.2023 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEK
11.04.2009 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-2 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
15.11.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
4-1
AWAY Kortrijk
1.49 xG 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
359 Passes 336
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH cruised past Kortrijk 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dender EH as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dender EH had 51% of the ball to Kortrijk's 49%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.49 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dender EH had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dender EH and 0.67 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Kortrijk?

Dender EH 4-1 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 46%, draw 25%, Kortrijk 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dender EH) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dender EH) ✗ BTTS No
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