Anderlecht 1-1 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 10 Aug 2024

Anderlecht
1-1 HT 1-1
OH Leuven
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.23
Over 2.5
43%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
21%
2.85
6+ Goals
8%
7.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.67 — our 30% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
15%
4.28
X/2
7%
9.13
X/X
16%
5.87
2/1
6%
20.8
2/2
10%
6.28
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.3pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Anderlecht v OH Leuven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
2.06/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.43
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.3 Crosses 13.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
2W-4D-0L
AWAY OH Leuven
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 1.16
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
458 Passes 266
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.01.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
28.10.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 5-1 HT 2-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
19.03.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
04.09.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 0-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
26.02.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
31.10.2021 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 1-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL

Anderlecht 1-1 OH Leuven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
1-1
AWAY OH Leuven
1.50 xG 0.74
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
365 Passes 219
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht and OH Leuven couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Anderlecht at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Anderlecht had 60% of the ball to OH Leuven's 40%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.50 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Anderlecht and 1.00 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs OH Leuven?

Anderlecht 1-1 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 47%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Anderlecht), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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