Jeju United 0-1 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.11
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
13%
4.8
X/2
9%
6.53
X/X
15%
4.28
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
13%
4.8
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.06/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.07/0.13
-33% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -93% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Incheon United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 2.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
406 Passes 382
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.06.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
06.04.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
16.09.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
10.05.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 2-0 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
12.03.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
11.10.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
0-1
AWAY Incheon United
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
429 Passes 456
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United edged past Jeju United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Incheon United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jeju United had 48% of the ball to Incheon United's 52%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jeju United and 1.00 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Incheon United?

Jeju United 0-1 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 40%, draw 27%, Incheon United 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jeju United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeju United) ✓ Under 2.5
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