Jeju United 1-0 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 26 Jun 2024

Jeju United
1-0 HT 0-0
Incheon United
📅26/06/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Jeju United vs Incheon United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.55
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.16
X/2
15%
5.83
X/X
13%
4.12
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
11%
4.22
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jeju United v Incheon United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.29/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.47
-18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.1 Crosses 10.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Jeju United vs Incheon United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Incheon United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.41
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
401 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
16.09.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
10.05.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 2-0 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
12.03.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
11.10.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
06.09.2022 Jeju United Jeju United 0-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK

Jeju United 1-0 Incheon United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
1-0
AWAY Incheon United
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
484 Passes 428
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United edged past Incheon United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jeju United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jeju United had 55% of the ball to Incheon United's 45%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jeju United and 1.17 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Incheon United?

Jeju United 1-0 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 41%, draw 27%, Incheon United 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeju United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jeju United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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