Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
4.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 25% vs market 19.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.7
X/1
22%
4.24
X/2
7%
9.05
X/X
10%
5.37
2/1
11%
22.3
2/2
10%
6.48
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+4.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.75/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.50
+39% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
18.2 Crosses 15.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Daegu
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
3.10 xG 0.89
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
675 Passes 232
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-2 HT 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
29.10.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
05.08.2023 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
24.06.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-1 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
05.05.2023 Daegu Daegu 0-3 HT 0-3 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
13.08.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 4-0 HT 2-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
1-0
AWAY Daegu
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
276 Passes 391
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai nicked a narrow win over Daegu 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 47% of the ball to Daegu's 53%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 0.33 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Daegu?

Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 57%, draw 20%, Daegu 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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