Cavalry 3-2 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.91
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 36% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.0pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 29%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.67/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.36
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.1 Crosses 13.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
2W-2D-2L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
398 Passes 328
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.07.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
11.05.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
13.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
15.07.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
17.06.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
14.05.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 1-2 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
3-2
AWAY HFX Wanderers
0.80 xG 1.85
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
389 Passes 339
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry nicked a narrow win over HFX Wanderers 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cavalry had 53% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 47%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 0.80 to 1.85 — the balance of chances actually favoured HFX Wanderers.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cavalry and 1.33 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers?

Cavalry 3-2 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 43%, draw 26%, HFX Wanderers 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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