Municipal Liberia 4-0 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 19%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.82/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.82
-8% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 3-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
29.01.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 5-0 HT 3-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
18.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
13.08.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 3-3 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia swept aside Santos de Guapiles 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.75 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Santos de Guapiles?

Municipal Liberia 4-0 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 54%, draw 24%, Santos de Guapiles 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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