TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.82
+57% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -41%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
13.04.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
16.08.2023 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
0-1
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai edged past TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was TransINVEST Vilnius at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 65% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 35%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 1.33 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?

TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 42%, draw 24%, Banga Gargzdai 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
10 Aug 2024
18:00 Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen Analysis →