Suduva 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.07/0.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.37
-95% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 HT 1-2 Suduva Suduva LIT1
13.04.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
02.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
02.07.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
28.04.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 6-0 HT 3-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
11.03.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
POST-MATCH Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen squeezed past Suduva 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Suduva and 2.17 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Suduva 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Suduva 24%, draw 30%, Hegelmann Litauen 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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