Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 10 Aug 2024

Zalaegerszegi TE
3-1 HT 1-0
Paksi SE
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zalaegerszegi TE v Paksi SE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.15/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.56
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
16.3 Crosses 21.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Paksi SE
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.82 xG 2.77
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
254 Passes 339
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 40
12 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
16.02.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-4 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
21.10.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-5 HT 2-3 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
26.05.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.03.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-1 HT 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
15.10.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-0 HT 2-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC

Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 Paksi SE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
3-1
AWAY Paksi SE
2.16 xG 2.23
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 19
11 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
268 Passes 403
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
43 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE got the better of Paksi SE 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zalaegerszegi TE as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 42% of the ball to Paksi SE's 58%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 2.16 to 2.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 2.17 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE?

Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalaegerszegi TE win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 41%, draw 26%, Paksi SE 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →