Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
31%
+9.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.95/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.78
+2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -31%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 81%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
16.1 Crosses 22.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Paksi SE
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.02 xG 3.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
259 Passes 298
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 44
12 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.02.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-4 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
21.10.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-5 HT 2-3 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
26.05.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.03.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-1 HT 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
15.10.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-0 HT 2-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
23.04.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-3 HT 2-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
1-1
AWAY Paksi SE
1.41 xG 1.26
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
245 Passes 422
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE and Paksi SE couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zalaegerszegi TE at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 39% of the ball to Paksi SE's 61%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 1.41 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 2.50 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE?

Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalaegerszegi TE win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 41%, draw 24%, Paksi SE 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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