Diosgyor 2-0 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
44%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+9.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
44%
Away Win
57%
-13.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +14%
1.23/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.97
+2% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
Crosses 18.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 2.58
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
302 Passes 498
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 42
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.04.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-1 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
03.04.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MACK
22.10.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
02.03.2021 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
20.01.2021 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-1 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
05.12.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-3 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
2-0
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.52 xG 0.90
30% Ball Possession 70%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
184 Passes 555
73% Pass Accuracy 89%
20 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor got the better of Ferencvaros 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ferencvaros at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Diosgyor had 30% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 70%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.52 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Diosgyor and 1.67 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Ferencvaros?

Diosgyor 2-0 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 31%, draw 25%, Ferencvaros 44%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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