Korona Kielce 0-2 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 10 Aug 2024

Korona Kielce
0-2 HT 0-1
Cracovia Krakow
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.65
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 37% vs market 33.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
15%
4.83
X/2
8%
6.13
X/X
16%
3.85
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
15%
4.74
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.6pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Korona Kielce v Cracovia Krakow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.46/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.95
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
23.2 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.13 xG 1.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
242 Passes 314
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
02.09.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
06.02.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
23.07.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
15.12.2019 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-0 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
11.08.2019 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL

Korona Kielce 0-2 Cracovia Krakow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
0-2
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
1.23 xG 1.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 7
306 Passes 193
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 16
38 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow got the better of Korona Kielce 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Korona Kielce at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 60% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 40%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.23 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Korona Kielce and 0.83 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow?

Korona Kielce 0-2 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 43%, draw 29%, Cracovia Krakow 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Korona Kielce) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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