AVS 1-1 Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

AVS
1-1 HT 0-1
Nacional
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

AVS vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
12%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.86
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
21%
4.45
X/2
9%
7.08
X/X
14%
4.24
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
10%
5.49
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AVS v Nacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
– Crosses 17.9
– Yellow Cards 3.0

AVS vs Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AVS
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nacional
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.57 xG 1.82
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 8
245 Passes 171
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
38 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.11.2023 AVS AVS 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Nacional POR2

AVS 1-1 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
1-1
AWAY Nacional
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
373 Passes 307
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH AVS vs Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AVS and Nacional shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AVS at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AVS had 54% of the ball to Nacional's 46%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of AVS vs Nacional?

AVS 1-1 Nacional in the Portugal - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a AVS win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AVS 43%, draw 29%, Nacional 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AVS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AVS) ✓ Under 2.5
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