Porto 3-0 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
23.15
X/1
16%
3.4
X/2
9%
19.8
X/X
7%
7.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.7
2/2
7%
15.75
2/X
6%
23.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-12.8pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+10.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.41/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.79
+5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +21%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
478 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
38.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
22.1 Crosses 10.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.67 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
417 Passes 303
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 0-0 Porto Porto POR
23.09.2023 Porto Porto 2-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
26.02.2023 Porto Porto 1-2 HT 1-2 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
21.12.2022 Porto Porto 2-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente PORLC
03.09.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-2 HT 0-2 Porto Porto POR
27.02.2022 Porto Porto 1-1 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto
3-0
AWAY Gil Vicente
3.47 xG 0.10
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
607 Passes 224
92% Pass Accuracy 82%
44 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Porto vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto ran out comfortable winners over Gil Vicente 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Porto had 71% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 29%, shots finished 18-2, expected goals 3.47 to 0.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Porto and 0.83 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Porto vs Gil Vicente?

Porto 3-0 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Porto 59%, draw 19%, Gil Vicente 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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