Gil Vicente 1-1 Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

Gil Vicente
1-1 HT 0-0
Porto
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Gil Vicente vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
45%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.65
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
8%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 24% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.9
1/2
9%
23.15
1/X
6%
18.0
X/1
9%
12.3
X/2
13%
3.63
X/X
14%
5.76
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.86
2/X
9%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.7pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.5pp
46%
Away Win
62%
-16.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gil Vicente v Porto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto EU Bookmakers 66%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.18/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.94
+4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +21%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 84%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.2
13.0 Crosses 18.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Gil Vicente vs Porto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Porto
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 2.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
295 Passes 426
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Porto Porto 2-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
26.02.2023 Porto Porto 1-2 HT 1-2 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
21.12.2022 Porto Porto 2-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente PORLC
03.09.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-2 HT 0-2 Porto Porto POR
27.02.2022 Porto Porto 1-1 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
24.09.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2 HT 1-1 Porto Porto POR

Gil Vicente 1-1 Porto — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
1-1
AWAY Porto
0.46 xG 3.19
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
297 Passes 464
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 43
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Gil Vicente vs Porto
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Gil Vicente and Porto shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Portugal - Premier League on 25 Feb 2024. Half-time: 0-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 42% of the ball to Porto's 58%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.46 to 3.19.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.67 for Porto.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Porto?

Gil Vicente 1-1 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 25%, draw 30%, Porto 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Porto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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